Posts Tagged ‘maps’
What are the new lucrative routes of 2030? What routes will drop in importance? Where are the centers of this new trade landscape? More in this PWC Future of World Trade routes (2030).
h/t to Barnabas. First posted on Future of Trade.
I’m helping put together a list of future maps for discussion, and this is what I have so far.
2008 Map of the Decade – http://www.iftf.org/system/files/deliverables/+map+of+the+decade+2008_sm.pdf
2007 Map of the Decade – http://www.iftf.org/node/1792
2006 Map of the Decade – http://www.iftf.org/node/760
2005 Map of the Decade – http://www.iftf.org/node/762
2003 Map of the Decade – http://www.iftf.org/node/781
Future of Map Making – http://www.iftf.org/node/1766
Future of Health and Wellness Making – http://www.iftf.org/node/2134
Future Forces affecting Sustainability – http://www.iftf.org/node/2269
Future of Work – http://www.iftf.org/node/754
Abundant Computing – http://www.iftf.org/node/800
Future of Education – http://www.iftf.org/node/2724 you have to follow the link at the bottom to find the map, just keep digging
Future of Making – http://www.iftf.org/node/1767 and http://www.iftf.org/system/files/deliverables/SR-1154+TH+2008+Maker+Map.pdf
Future of Baby Boomers – http://www.iftf.org/node/2057
Global Health Economy – http://www.iftf.org/node/771
UK Govt Science & Technology Map – http://www.iftf.org/node/757
A list of the workshops and other maps from IFTF – http://www.iftf.org/workshops
Trend Blend 2009 – http://i.ixnp.com/images/v3.78/t.gif
OK, so I’m a bit behind on the blog lately. The Institute of the Future released their 2008 Map of the Decade earlier in the year. I mentioned to the group last week that I wanted to start filling in the gap ‘People and Communities’ in what FG does. I had some ready starts in mind: youth (below), faith, slums .. and this latest map is surprising and welcome in highlighting more along the lines of communities: new commons, new diasporas, superhero organisations … that I feel hungry to take on.
As mentioned, I’m also on what could be another longish project on trying to put an economic cost of undercapitalised and disengaged youth in Singapore. There’s a surprising gap in the research in this field, so I’m starting an ethnographic research to fill in this blank. Let’s see where it brings us.
Great graphics from the New York Times on immigration changing the USA’s workforce, education, healthcare and other parts of society. This is a long running project by the paper on immigration, worth exploring other entries here.
Here’s a rather cool 2009 trend mapping by Richard Watson. You can download the pdf version here.
The author highlighted the top 11 trends (or as the author footnote claims – “Educated guess”) in 2009, namely: Ageing, Anxiety, Climate change, Debt, Digitalization, Global connectivity, GRIN (Genetics, Robotics, InfoTech, NanoTech) technologies, Power shift Eastwards, Sustainability, Uncertainty & Volatility, as well as the impacts of each events (of varying degrees, depending on the size of the bubble), segmented by eight different sectors (basically STEEP + Biz, Family and media).
Here’s some of the events that caught my attention:
Society – Utility, Authenticity;
Technology – Simplicity, Green IT;
Economy – Industry consolidation, Sovereign Wealth Funds;
Environment – Urbanization, Green Cities, Nuclear Power, Bio-fuel backlash;
Politics – Rising protectionism, Fall of US Empire, Virtual protests;
Business – CSR, Transparency, networked risk, skills shortages;
Family – Single person households, IMBY;
Media – TOO much information, Facebook fatigue, etc…
It is also interesting to note some of the global risk highlighted, such as Influenza pandemic/ Return of SARs (as in ’03), Major Internet Failure (Din we experience this in ’01/02?), Alternative Energy Bubble (2009? Unlikely? or 2013 – 2015?), Severe water shortages, Income inequality, etc… On a lighter note, Richard warns of the risk in taking trend maps too seriously and mocks at Nicole Kidman winning another oscar(Probably a TC fan)…
I’m a lover of infographics, as you probably know. The Financial Times recently came out with a new map of global banking, and it has been reorganised over a mere eight years. The ‘rise of the rest’ comes in dramatic spurts sometimes. China’s three big banks dominate the rankings and so do Australian and Brazilian banks.
A deliciously dark report from the EIU painting three scenarios after the crunch. The EIU has identified three macroeconomic scenarios for the evolution of the crisis that began in the US sub-prime mortgage market and is now reverberating throughout the world economy. I’ve cut and paste the summary page below, but you can download the full report titled ‘Manning the Barricades’ here.
Scenario 1: EIU central forecast (60% probability)
Government stimulus stabilises the global financial system and restores economic growth in leading developed markets during 2010, albeit at lower levels than in recent years. This scenario underpins our regular analysis and is not the subject of this report.
Scenario 2: The main risk scenario (30% probability)
Stimulus fails, leading to continued asset price deflation and sustained contraction in the leading economies—a depression persisting for some years. The stubborn decline in global economic activity is punctuated by occasional rallies that are taken as signs of recovery, but these quickly fade as the underlying downward trend reasserts itself. The prominent role of governments in propping up banks and reviving domestic demand leads to strong political pressure for protectionism, effectively putting the process of globalisation into reverse.
Scenario 3: The alternative risk scenario (10% probability)
Failing confidence in the dollar leads to its collapse, and the search for alternative safe-havens proves fruitless.
Economic upheaval sharply raises the risk of social unrest and violent protest. A Political Instability Index covering 165 countries, developed for this report, highlights the countries particularly vulnerable to political instability as a result of economic distress. The results of the index are displayed in map form and in a ranking table in the centre pages, along with a brief methodology.
The political implications of the economic downturn, informed by the results of the Social and Political Unrest Index, are discussed at length in the second half of the report.
Excellent crowdsourcing here for an infographic to capture the complexity of the financial crisis. h/t to Jasmine for putting this up on Facebook where I saw it. GOOD magazine put up a prize of $500 for the best infographics, and some of the entries were really good. You can see the GOOD blog post here. I’m highlighting my favourite from Jonathan Jarvis, who I think also translated this into an animation.