The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is not a world marked by American decline, but the rise of everybody else. The rise of China and India are the most obvious signs, but the Gulf countries are also remaking themselves beyond hydrocarbons, Africa is beginning to be distinguished into tier 1, 2 and 3 countries of promise etc.
We came up with a fun video to capture these changes in Oct 2008. You are very welcome to use this in anyway you want, please attribute, much appreciated! You can grab from youtube or a larger version from google video.
Of course, much has changed since Lehman Brother’s collapse. The current Great Reset shows that this is not an assured certainty. There is no independent rise of the rest without the continued health of the USA. But even from within a Chasm (more explanation on these terms in the Great Reset page), there will come a different rise of the rest. One not centered on export, but centered on restructured domestic economies and technological innovation.
Regions that have accumulated a depth and breadth of skills, capital, networks and wealth and that have thrived in an export-oriented world (read China, Korea, Japan, Singapore, Taiwan, Australia…) cannot be automatically assumed to transition into a Chasm world successfully. But who has managed to transition into a deep, well developed domestic market with technological innovation without going through the path of export dependence? Maybe Japan, and Japan is not exactly a convincing example. Does India bear extra watching in the Chasm world? In a new world centered around China (what my prof Thian Ser calls Chi-Asia to replace Chi-merica), what are the new flows? And how might a nation/society poise itself over the next two decades to grasp onto this? Which of us has ‘got religion’ that the days of US export dependence are truly over?
When it becomes clearer which way the world will trend in the coming months, I might update with a different ‘Rise of the Rest’.