Rise of the Rest – the video
Wow, finally! The video for the ‘Rise of the Rest’ is available.
If you like this, you are very welcome to use it! Please attribute, much appreciated! You can grab from youtube or a larger version from google video.
The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is not a world marked by American decline, but the rise of everybody else. The rise of China and India are the most obvious signs, but the Gulf countries are also remaking themselves beyond hydrocarbons, Africa is beginning to be distinguished into tier 1, 2 and 3 countries of promise etc. As you can see in the wordle crunch, China and India are big but they are not the whole story.
In the video, I try to capture this rise in a 5 min animation. Not easy. The grunt work is the research, and the elegance I attribute to the video editor. I’ve already been asked to list down the sources and here they are below:
1. Babies born per year from Unicef
2. Global Fortune 500 by country
3. Middle class figures – Wharton and McKinsey’s “China’s Emerging Middle Class”.
4. China’s outbound tourists figures from World Tourism Organisation.
5. China as the largest English speaking nation by the British Council.
6. Mumbai, Dhaka, Calcutta, Delhi and Karachi in the future top ten most populous cities. I like the IFTF’s cool map here.
7. Urbanisation of China figures from McKinsey’s “Preparing for China’s Urban Billions”. and the Concrete Dragon.
8. China Internet figures from the Economist, QQ figures from company website.
9. GCC oil windfall figures from McKinsey’s “The Coming Oil Windfall in the Gulf“.
10. Africa figures from “China in Africa” by Chris Alden. Chinese settlement in Africa figures and FT special titled “Africa-China Trade” on 24th Jan 2008.
11. China and India engineer graduate figures vs US from “Is America Losing at Globalization” and “Why Economics Isn’t a Zero-Sum Game”, Newsweek 8 Sept 08″
12. R&D figures for various countries from Charles Wessner, Director, National Academies. Original source Battelle, Global R&D report 2007
13. Working age population figures for India and China from from UN Population Division.
Congrats on the completion of this vid. How was it received at the brainstorming session?
kaesee
October 9, 2008 at 1:34 pm
They loved it! It’ll likely be shown at other brainstorming sessions to spark off discussions, they’ve asked for copies
Brilliant!
chorpharn
October 9, 2008 at 3:04 pm
Congratulations! I don’t know why but I feel a little like a proud mother hen
Dawn
October 10, 2008 at 3:51 pm
Chor Pharn Lee’s “Rise of the Rest”…
He links to Ms. Chor Pharn Lee’s take on the “Rise of the Rest” by using Karl Fisch’s “Did You Know 2.0″ format, which I thought deserved it’s own blog post here….
Silicon Moon
October 11, 2008 at 6:25 am
Hi Chor Pharn,
that’s really a fantastic video you have there. I agree that it’s not easy to put all those information in a 5min video, but it was well presented.
I’m not surprised that the video’s well received though. It got me thinking too.
No doubt the rise of the rest spells exciting times for people living amongst the “rest” of the regions. I see lots of people, funds, and resources moving around over the next 20years – the world would be even more dynamic than it is and has ever been. New opportunities will be created, and those who are most able to synthesize information and create value are best poised to take advantage of this “rise of the rest”.
Yet, looking beyond the excitement, I’m afraid I’m more concerned than enthused by the impending development of “the rest” – mainly with the cost arising from the development and what comes after that.
The Rise of America and Western Europe came with massive environmental costs. Ecosystems and forests have been destroyed and our energy reserves are rapidly depleting – and we’ve only witness the rise of two regions.
What then will come about from the rapid and intensive rise of China, India, the Middle East and Africa? Especially when they’ll be growing at such an unprecedented rate?
I think that it’s critical and prudent that we consider the potential costs that will come about as a result of the “rise of the rest”. It is hoped that, with wisdom and prudence in development, the rise of the rest will be a sustainable and fruitful one, and not one that is achieved at the expense of the long term future.
Gary G
November 5, 2008 at 11:58 pm
[...] Going through Karl Fisch’s blog also led me to watch this video, titled “Rise of the Rest” which is supposedly inspired by the Did you Know video, which is quite amazing as well. This is available in higher quality on google video (as a download) – found that link on the futuregroup wordpress blog. [...]
DhirajGupta.com» Did you know / Shift Happens
January 2, 2009 at 2:41 am